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FMCG growth much slower than GDP expansion

Jason Yu

General Manager

Retail 08.05.2017 / 11:40

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FMCG sales growth remains challenging in the first quarter. Local retailers outpace market by opening more stores.

Kantar Worldpanel reports the spending in fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) in the first quarter of 2017 grew by only 1.7% year on year. China’s GDP grew 6.9% over the same period from a year earlier, slightly faster than expected, supported by a government infrastructure investment and a frenzied housing market.

Kantar Worldpanel China continuously measures household purchases over 100 product categories including cosmetics, food and beverages and the toiletry/household sector through its 40,000 sample families. Its national urban panel covers 20 provinces and four municipality cities (Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Chongqing). The channels within its monitoring scope modern trade (supermarket, hypermarket, convenient stores), traditional trade (grocery, free market, whole sale), e-commerce, overseas shopping, direct sale, work unit/gifting etc. The goods under monitoring are those obtained for in-home consumptions.

Modern trade (including hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores) grew marginally by 0.3% in the first quarter of the year, as many big format stores struggled to attract shoppers back into store.  Across city tiers, provincial capitals and prefecture level cities enjoyed faster growth, up by 2.5% collectively. With slower growth seen in the top tier cities, hypermarkets overall business declined by 0.8%. Of all the regions, West and North regions have been largely upbeat, growing by 2.9% and 3% respectively

Market followers are challenging the position of leaders

0508-EN Q1 Top 10 FMCG Retailer

Under the challenge of local competitors, total international retailers’ share saw a further drop from 10.8% in the first quarter of last year to 10.2% this Q1.

Among the top five retailers, Sun Art, Vanguard and Walmart all maintained their position this year. The share of Carrefour dropped slightly by 0.1 percentage point. On the contrary, the local rising challenger Yonghui saw its share rise from 2.6% a year ago to 3% in the first quarter of 2017, thanks to the opening of 33 new stores. To further expand its presence, Yonghui announced its ambition to open 200+ stores, including different formats to target different shopper groups and shopping missions. It also pioneered YH Membership stores and YH Super Species (its future supermarket prototype combining shopping with in-store dinning) to woo middle class consumers who want different shopping experiences. In April, Yonghui also formed a new joint venture with WSL group to further develop the premium supermarket sector and drive collaboration in supply chain integration in Hubei Province.

The first quarter of 2017 also witnessed the growth of a few other local retailers. Bubugao, which originated in Hunan Province, grew by 16% in the first quarter, driven by the opening of 12 stores and the acquisition of Myshop, a multi-format retailer in Sichuan/Chongqing. This clearly indicated its ambition to move beyond its home territory to nearby in land provinces where modern trade is to yet to be consolidated.

Wumart, the key retailer in the North, opened 18 stores in the North region in 2016. Meanwhile, it also expanded its business in the East. As a result, Wumart's share increased from 1.5% to 1.7%.

SPAR also reported share growth edging from 1.3% to 1.5%, driven by its franchise in Sichuan (Dehui) and Guangdong (Jiarong). SPAR also recently welcomed Jinfang to its family, expanding its presence to Yunnan and Guizhou.

E-commerce still bright spot

Kantar Worldpanel reported 35% growth in FMCG spend through e-commerce platforms in the first quarter of 2017. Tmall (part of Alibaba) still maintained its lead in the B2C camp, followed by JD.com while YHD (now part of JD.com) continued to experience shopper losses, with penetration falling from 1.7% last year to 1.5% in the latest quarter.

Despite stronger growth in FMCG, all major players are facing challenges to grow their overall traffic and are therefore keen to expand their presence in the offline world by either partnering/acquiring offline stores or transforming the current retail/wholesale supply chain network. In April JD.com revealed its ambition to transform 1 million stores in the lower tier cities and rural areas under the JD banner, and its set to provide branding and merchandise supplies to those loosely organized grocery stores. The move, if successful, will dramatically reshape the traditional retail landscape in China.

Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Editor's notes

* Tier 1, 2 cities: Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Chengdu and provincial capitals; Tier 3, 4 cities: ;Tier 3, 4 cities: prefecture-level and county-level cities as well as counties. International retailers refer to retailers originated outside China’s Mainland, Taiwan, Macau, and Hong Kong.

EAST: Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang , Anhui, Henan

SOUTH: Guangdong, Fujian, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi

WEST: Chongqing, Shaanxi, Sichuan, Guangxi, Guizhou, Yunnan

NORTH: Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning , Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shandong, Shanxi

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